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Ohio snippets, from the field
Oct. 25th, 2005 09:57 amBetter Angels of Our Nature has an interesting (and informed) take on the Ohio Senate race, as well as the entire picture in Ohio, where recent changes (a la those the Gropinator want's to bring to Calif. viz. more competitive districts) make the 2006/2008 picture far murkier than it might be, here
That measure is, so it seems, a sleeping bull in the china shop, "Issue 4 basically states that Ohio's 18 Congressional districts will be redrawn--within reason and legal compliance--so as to become competitive. That means that 16 districts will be up for grabs, more-or-less. The two exceptions: OH-11, which is Stephanie Tubbs Jones' district, and was drawn with the Voting Rights Act in mind, and a GOP counterpart, which my gut tells me will likely be OH-2. Everything else will be redrawn, if it passes--and immediately.
So some people are making decisions about how/if they run, based on what might happen if Issue 4 passes.
How does this affect the Hackett race? Basically the argument is that, absent a contested primary, DeWine will win. The only way it looks as if Hacket (or Brown) can beat him is to run to the right of him, and that isn't going to happen. But there are a lot of people who may be facing rougher runs, if this passes and so they might toss a hat in the ring
So, should a Symington (Calif. reference) be in the running, then Hackett has a chance.
Me, I think Hackett ought to have re-run for the seat he almost took. What with the present problems the administration has, I think he has a good chance to win. I'm not sure quite how I feel about the run for Senate. It's a longer shot, and coming out the gate twice as a loser would pretty much put the kibosh on his political career. Then again, I'm not sure how I feel about him getting a senate seat, right out the gate. If it turns out I don't like him, he has a lot more power, and a lot more time.
That measure is, so it seems, a sleeping bull in the china shop, "Issue 4 basically states that Ohio's 18 Congressional districts will be redrawn--within reason and legal compliance--so as to become competitive. That means that 16 districts will be up for grabs, more-or-less. The two exceptions: OH-11, which is Stephanie Tubbs Jones' district, and was drawn with the Voting Rights Act in mind, and a GOP counterpart, which my gut tells me will likely be OH-2. Everything else will be redrawn, if it passes--and immediately.
So some people are making decisions about how/if they run, based on what might happen if Issue 4 passes.
How does this affect the Hackett race? Basically the argument is that, absent a contested primary, DeWine will win. The only way it looks as if Hacket (or Brown) can beat him is to run to the right of him, and that isn't going to happen. But there are a lot of people who may be facing rougher runs, if this passes and so they might toss a hat in the ring
So, should a Symington (Calif. reference) be in the running, then Hackett has a chance.
Me, I think Hackett ought to have re-run for the seat he almost took. What with the present problems the administration has, I think he has a good chance to win. I'm not sure quite how I feel about the run for Senate. It's a longer shot, and coming out the gate twice as a loser would pretty much put the kibosh on his political career. Then again, I'm not sure how I feel about him getting a senate seat, right out the gate. If it turns out I don't like him, he has a lot more power, and a lot more time.
