ext_3578 ([identity profile] pecunium.livejournal.com) wrote in [personal profile] pecunium 2005-02-08 08:50 pm (UTC)

The trouble with that is the question of the levers of power. At present the Sunni, which is where the Ba'ath party strength is, are out of the loop, which means the people needed to enforce the coup are likely to be thin on the ground.

And the Shi'a have weapons now, and so they may elect to fight back. Which leads to the three faction civil war and the Lebanization (which Cole is real familiar with, since he lived there for six years, during the war).

TK

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